Go big, go long, or go home?

The worst part of this “liberation” for Iraquis is yet to come, I fear.

Going big — the “surge” — has not worked, so far as I can see.

Going long, like the 54-years-and-counting Korean American military presence is likely the best option.

I don’t think that will happen. Some American politician, sooner or later, will decide to Quit Iraq.

Going home. Long lines of American vehicles and tens of thousands of refugees moving slowly toward the Kuwait border. That’s the exit I expect.

Sound familiar?

Fall of Saigon

It will likely get bloody in Iraq as the Americans drive away. Strong men will fight it out to replace Saddam.

I was just as gloomy about South Africa when the ANC assumed power. But the anticipated blood bath did not occur.

Hopefully I’m just as wrong about Iraq.